Cyclone ‘Biparjoy’ Set to Intensify: Impact on Indian Weather and Monsoon Private weather forecasting agency Skymet Weather has indicated that the onset of the monsoon over Kerala may occur on June 8 or June 9. Meanwhile, the Indian Meteorological Department has reported that the cyclonic storm named ‘Biparjoy,’ located over the east-central and adjoining southeast Arabian Sea, is expected to move northwards and gradually intensify into a severe cyclonic storm within the next few hours. Furthermore, it is anticipated to further strengthen into a very severe cyclonic storm over the same region within the following 24 hours.
As of 2:30 am IST, the cyclonic storm remained nearly stationary for approximately three hours and was positioned around 900 km west-southwest of Goa, 1020 km southwest of Mumbai, 1090 km south-southwest of Porbandar, and 1380 km south of Karachi.
Cyclone ‘Biparjoy’ Intensifies, Impacting Indian Monsoon and Weather Patterns
The delay in the onset of the monsoon in Kerala, coupled with the presence of the cyclonic storm, is expected to have a significant impact on the advancement of the monsoon towards the Kerala coast, according to the Meteorological Department. While the weather department has not yet provided a specific date for the monsoon’s arrival in Kerala, Skymet Weather has suggested a potential entry on June 8 or June 9, albeit with a relatively subdued and gradual onset.
“These powerful weather systems in the Arabian Sea hinder the progress of the monsoon into the mainland. Under their influence, the monsoon current may reach coastal regions but encounter difficulties in penetrating beyond the Western Ghats,” stated Skymet Weather. The southwest monsoon typically commences over Kerala on June 1, with a standard deviation of approximately seven days. Initially, the IMD had predicted that the monsoon might arrive in the southern state by June 4.
However, due to the formation of a low-pressure system in the Arabian Sea, the onset of the monsoon in Kerala has been further delayed. Scientists emphasize that this delay does not imply a late arrival of the monsoon in other parts of the country, nor does it have a significant impact on the overall seasonal rainfall across India.
Cyclone ‘Biparjoy’ Intensifies as Monsoon Onset in Kerala Faces Delay
The cyclonic storm is expected to bring gale-force winds, with speeds reaching 70-80 kmph and gusts up to 90 kmph, over the east-central Arabian Sea and adjoining areas of west-central and southeast Arabian Sea. These winds are likely to intensify to speeds of 105-115 kmph, gusting up to 125 kmph from the evening of June 7 in the same region. On June 8, squally winds with speeds of 40-50 kmph and gusts up to 60 kmph are expected along the Karnataka-Goa-Maharashtra coasts. Similar wind conditions are anticipated to persist for the following four days along these coastal areas.
Private weather forecasting agency, Skymet Weather, has provided insights on the anticipated onset of the monsoon over Kerala, suggesting it may occur on June 8 or June 9. Simultaneously, the Indian Meteorological Department has reported that a cyclonic storm named ‘Biparjoy’ is currently located over the east-central and adjoining southeast Arabian Sea. It is predicted to move northwards, gradually intensify, and develop into a severe cyclonic storm within the next few hours. Additionally, within the following 24 hours, the cyclone is expected to strengthen further, potentially reaching a very severe cyclonic storm status over the same region.
As of 2:30 am IST, the cyclonic storm has maintained a nearly stationary position for approximately three hours. It is situated roughly 900 km west-southwest of Goa, 1020 km southwest of Mumbai, 1090 km south-southwest of Porbandar, and 1380 km south of Karachi.
The delay in the onset of the monsoon in Kerala, coupled with the presence of the cyclonic storm, is likely to have a significant impact on the advancement of the monsoon towards the Kerala coast, as highlighted by the Meteorological Department. While a specific date for the monsoon’s arrival in Kerala has not been provided by the weather department, Skymet Weather suggests a potential entry on June 8 or June 9, albeit with a relatively subdued and gradual onset.
